Preparing For the Next Black Swans
In my previous post I described how business cycle booms and busts are the norm, not the exception. Also, surprises, accidents and disappointments will happen regularly. We should all prepare for these national and individual Black Swans, and those of us who are...
The Next Black Swan
It has now been almost seven years since the world went through its last financial meltdown, or Black Swan, and from sixty-eight years of personal observation, it’s about time for another one, because they always eventually happen, no matter what the elites and the...
Scouting the Future
I was rummaging around in the future and found this Boy Scouts of America policy document, distributed in 2023. It was written for the large group of gay Boy Scout leaders who began entering the movement after the national organization ended its ban on gay leaders in...
A Better Idea For 2016: The Conservative Team That Will Win
Are you already as done with the 2016 Election Cycle as I am? Talking heads. He said-she said-he said. Attack ads. Scorched earth. All about “me”. Are we really going to spend more than a year with a large gaggle of seemingly qualified conservative leaders rearranging...
The Political Class Enlists Young Recruits with Your Money
The political class is using your tax dollars to replenish and to grow its numbers with young people who are true believers in the government’s importance. For years there have been programs to reduce a graduate’s monthly college loan payments due to income...
Daddy, Y Are We Hunting for Eggs?
Last Saturday we made our usual afternoon trip to the local Y to work out. Outside the front door was a large inflatable bunny and a sign inviting us to the Eggsplosion Egg Hunt, which we had apparently just missed. Some young children were leaving with their...
Truth Has Consequences: Where Have All the Fathers Gone?
We were recently introduced to a group of dedicated young women at KnowYourIX who are leading the movement to protect women on college campuses, and to punish men, either legally or administratively, who commit acts of violence and rape. I completely agree that men...
Hold Back The Weapons For Now
For a conservative who believes in Rule of Law, the Ukrainian Crisis presents a choice between several bad alternatives. What Putin is doing to destabilize and potentially annex a second part of Ukraine is clearly a violation of international law, and is unacceptable...
Will We Follow Europe Into the Abyss or Pull Back?
If you were in a line of fast moving cars running in and out of fog and suddenly the fog parted and you could see that the bridge ahead had just collapsed, and that cars were falling into the deep canyon, would you continue to speed forward because you enjoy how your...
Thoughts on 2014 Surprises
Ending 2014 with five personal thoughts on events that surprised me: Shortly after Memorial Day I attended a professional breakfast on current topics in commercial real estate. There were several hundred well dressed attendees, of all ages and both genders. The MC...
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